Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.221168 0.255565 0.293365 0.337964 0.389124 0.445956 0.513863
2024-10-20 0.170064 0.215425 0.269795 0.339673 0.427016 0.532507 0.669534
2024-10-27 0.128547 0.177145 0.240207 0.327820 0.446182 0.600330 0.816152
2024-11-03 0.105852 0.157604 0.229820 0.337538 0.493708 0.711437 1.037592
2024-11-10 0.089153 0.142588 0.222323 0.349283 0.545643 0.836952 1.300977
2024-11-17 0.073282 0.125332 0.208017 0.347935 0.577711 0.938742 1.547325
2024-11-24 0.060727 0.110586 0.194557 0.344935 0.606015 1.038595 1.806866
2024-12-01 0.051152 0.098796 0.183547 0.343561 0.636123 1.145317 2.094392
2024-12-08 0.043842 0.089500 0.174995 0.344607 0.670064 1.263056 2.419003
2024-12-15 0.038730 0.083285 0.170824 0.352719 0.717812 1.411945 2.822509
2024-12-22 0.033411 0.075537 0.162221 0.350514 0.745078 1.526335 3.178073
2024-12-29 0.029967 0.071017 0.159233 0.358984 0.794732 1.690791 3.656292
2025-01-05 0.025765 0.064066 0.150088 0.353275 0.814957 1.801358 4.046948
2025-01-12 0.023018 0.059921 0.146360 0.358891 0.860818 1.972688 4.594268
2025-01-19 0.019687 0.053647 0.136597 0.348850 0.869697 2.065512 4.984444
2025-01-26 0.018084 0.051421 0.136078 0.360857 0.932321 2.288376 5.705785
2025-02-02 0.016739 0.049596 0.136217 0.374542 1.001407 2.536728 6.525898
2025-02-09 0.014902 0.046008 0.131146 0.373860 1.034264 2.703396 7.173735
2025-02-16 0.013229 0.042523 0.125691 0.371141 1.061374 2.859995 7.820864
2025-02-23 0.011833 0.039555 0.121106 0.369993 1.092549 3.031684 8.533760
2025-03-02 0.010693 0.037128 0.117610 0.371335 1.130928 3.228119 9.342978
2025-03-09 0.009904 0.035663 0.116702 0.380204 1.192479 3.496378 10.389790
2025-03-16 0.008900 0.033242 0.112404 0.377928 1.220835 3.677077 11.218929